USDA's NASS Crop Production 2018 Summary reported a record 4.54 billion bushels of soybeans, up 3% from 2017, with yield up 5%. The 2018 corn crop was 14.4 billion bushels, down 1% from the record 2017 harvest, and cotton output fell 12%.
A record soybean crop and a slightly smaller corn crop add to large US supplies, which weighs on feed and meal prices unless export demand absorbs the surplus.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.