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NOPA reported record October 2019 U.S. soybean crush of 4.774 million tonnes, up from 4.691 million a year earlier and above trade expectations. The data came one week after USDA cut its 2019/20 U.S. crush forecast.
Record crush boosts soybean meal and oil output, but depressed crush margins from weak Asian demand for meal after African swine fever cap processors' economics. Bigger crush supports soybean demand while meal supply pressure weighs on meal prices.
agrimarketing.comNov 25, 2019After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
