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Brazil's IBGE estimates the 2017 grain harvest at 238.6 million metric tons, 29.2% above 2016, driven by record soybean (113.9 million tons) and corn (97.0 million tons) output. Favorable climate lifted yields per hectare, with Mato Grosso, Paraná and Rio Grande do Sul the leading producers.
A record Brazilian soy and corn crop adds substantial export supply in the second half of 2017, which is bearish for world soybean and corn prices and weighs on Brazilian export premiums.
agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.brJun 8, 2017After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
