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Brazil's crush margin reached $27.51 per tonne on July 13, up 18% year on year, and the 2022 average is 51.5% higher. USDA projects record Brazilian soymeal output of 38.17 million tonnes and soyoil output of 9.48 million tonnes for 2021-22.
Record Brazilian meal exports of 18.5 million tonnes add supply to the global meal market, which is bearish for soymeal prices, while higher oil exports ease vegetable oil tightness.
spglobal.comJose Roberto GomesJul 14, 2022After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 114 past neutral report events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
