
USDA FAS projects global soybean meal exports at a record 82 million metric tons in 2025/26, up 1%, marking a third straight record year. Growth is driven by expanded crushing in Brazil and the US and strong biofuel demand.
Soybean meal prices have fallen from about $550/t in November 2023 to about $300/t in July 2025.
Ample global supply and record trade keep meal prices low and affordable for feed buyers, though growing import demand from Indonesia, Iran, the EU, Vietnam and Mexico provides some support.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, SOY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.