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Abiove raised its 2023 Brazilian soybean crush estimate to a record 53.5 million tonnes from 53.2 million. Soybean meal export projections were lifted to 22 million tonnes and soybean oil export projections to 2.4 million tonnes.
Production was estimated at 156.5 million tonnes.
A record crush and larger meal exports add to global meal supply, which is bearish for soymeal prices. Higher oil export demand also supports soybean oil and the crush margin.
spglobal.comJul 21, 2023After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
