
Donau Soja's November report projects EU soybean production up 4.5% in 2021 to 9.4 million tonnes, and experts expect lower demand for non-GMO soybean meal. Non-GMO meal prices have peaked and are softening, while Italian processors plan crushing cuts of up to 20% by September 2022.
Reduced EU crushing and weaker non-GMO meal demand, with Ukrainian beans cheaper to import into Germany and Hungary, point to lower soymeal prices in Europe.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.