
The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service projects US industrial demand for soybean oil, driven by biodiesel, to grow 28% in 2022-23. Food and feed use is expected to grow less than 1%.
Brazil's domestic oil demand is forecast to fall because it reduced its biodiesel blending requirement.
Strong US industrial demand accounts for nearly all projected consumption growth, supporting US soybean oil prices. Weaker Brazilian demand eases some pressure on South American prices.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.