Loading…
USDA's January report lowered US soybean ending stocks by 10 million bushels to 210 million and cut export projections by 55 million bushels to 2 billion. Market analyst Emily French said the market rallied 30 cents on the news while wheat fell 60 cents, and she flagged weakening demand signals.
Tighter US ending stocks support soybean and meal prices, but the analyst's warnings about softening demand and freight signals suggest the rally may not hold. Feed buyers face a mixed outlook.
ussec.orgJan 17, 2023After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
