U.S. soybean yields expected to set a new record this fall

After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.

• Dec 30, 2025Growers Expected to Set New Record Average Yields Despite Seasonal Setbacks+0.0%
• Aug 13, 2024USDA Projects Record Soybean, Corn Yields - Farm Policy News-1.2%
• Nov 28, 2020Wisconsin corn growers expect to see record yields | AP News-1.5%
• Apr 6, 2017Brazil To Harvest Record Corn And Soybean Yields+0.6%
• Aug 12, 2020USDA forecasts record high corn, soybean yields+3.8%

After 563 past neutral report events, SOY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Jul 30, 2018U.S. Soybeans Setting Pods at Record Pace+1.8%
• Aug 15, 2025Global soybean meal trade to set record for third straight year+2.6%
• May 11, 2018Soybean yields not increasing relative to corn yields - Brownfield Ag News-1.8%
• Apr 23, 2024Yields of Top Soybean States Relative to US Total Yield-0.0%
• May 12, 2022Corn, Soybean Production Numbers as Expected in May USDA Report+0.8%