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ING analysis of the January WASDE says U.S. corn, soybean and wheat ending stocks all came in below expectations. USDA cut corn production by about 200 million bushels on lower acreage, while global balances were less supportive with stocks in line or above expectations.
Tighter U.S. balances support domestic grain prices, while looser global stocks limit the upside. The net effect is a firmer U.S. price outlook.
think.ing.comWarren PattersonJan 13, 2023After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
