
USDA's April WASDE lowered US corn ending stocks to 1,352m bushels, below the 1,370-1,390m expected by the market. Global corn ending stocks fell to 283.9mt on stronger US demand.
The report raised Brazil's soybean supply, while China's wheat demand tightened the global wheat balance.
A tighter global corn balance and stronger wheat demand support prices for those grains. A larger Brazilian soybean crop adds bearish pressure on soybeans and soymeal.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.