
USDA's July WASDE raised 2021/22 U.S. corn production by 175 million bushels to 15.2 billion, lifting ending stocks to 1.43 billion bushels. Brazil's 2020/21 corn output was cut to 93 million tonnes on drought and frost, and global wheat ending stocks for 2021/22 came in below expectations.
Higher U.S. corn stocks are bearish for corn, while lower global wheat stocks are supportive for wheat prices.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.