
ING's analysis of the November WASDE says the soybean yield cut from 53.1 to 51.7 bu/acre lowered U.S. production to 4,461 million bushels, below market expectations. U.S. corn export estimates were left unchanged despite strong export sales in October.
Global 2024/25 wheat, corn and soybean balances were also revised.
A tighter U.S. soybean balance sheet supports soymeal and soybean prices, which feed buyers pay for. Unchanged corn exports limit the bullish corn impact.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.