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Grain futures sold off after the April WASDE, which left Brazilian corn and soybean output unchanged despite expectations of cuts. USDA cut global corn ending stocks by 1.4 million tonnes and raised US soybean ending stocks to 340 million bushels.
USDA's Brazilian corn estimate of 124 million tonnes sits well above CONAB's 111 million.
Keeping Brazil's crop high and raising US soybean stocks points to ample supply and lower feed grain and meal prices. Buyers can expect less upward pressure on feed costs.
think.ing.comWarren PattersonApr 12, 2024After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
