
The September USDA Supply/Demand and Crop Production reports showed corn average yield at 169.9 bushels per acre versus a trade estimate of 168, and larger soybean and corn stocks. Dec. corn futures closed 6 cents lower and Nov. soybeans 9.5 cents lower.
Analysts called the report bearish.
Bigger-than-expected crop estimates lower the price outlook for corn and soybean complex, reducing feed costs.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.