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Argentine farmer sales of corn and soybeans for export more than doubled in the final week of July as the weaker peso lifted domestic soybean prices. Crush margins rose as soyoil prices gained more than 3%, and about 55% of the existing soybean crop had been sold.
Heavier farmer selling of Argentine beans and corn adds export supply, while strong crush margins support meal and oil output, which is bearish for corn and mildly bearish for soymeal prices in export markets.
benisonmedia.comAshwani VermaAug 21, 2019After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
