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Analysts say China could cut soybean imports by more than 10 million tons this year, over 10 percent below last year, as domestic production and soybean substitutes gain ground. Rapeseed meal, cottonseed meal and sunflower meal are becoming more economical as imported soymeal costs rise with trade frictions.
A low-protein feed with added amino acids could cut soymeal demand by up to 7 percent.
Substitution away from soybean meal reduces Chinese import demand for soybeans and meal, which is bearish for soybeans and soybean meal. Rising alternative meal demand supports sunflower, cottonseed and canola meal prices.
benisonmedia.comAshwani VermaAug 21, 2019After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
