Loading…
CME agricultural futures surged on April 1 after USDA's Prospective Plantings report showed US corn, soybean and wheat acreage well below trade guesses. May corn rose 4.64% and May soybeans rose 5.12%, with corn and soybeans hitting limit-up.
Wheat and oats also gained more than 3.25%.
Acreage well below expectations sharply tightens the US supply outlook for corn, soybeans, wheat and oats, lifting feed grain prices. The size of the move signals a major repricing for feed buyers.
etftrends.comIan YoungApr 1, 2021After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 52 past bullish report events, Oats moved a median -2.0% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -3.4% to +2.4%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly reports May soybeans up 5.12% after the surprise USDA acreage report, matching the magnitude of the move.
