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The USDA report cut U.S. soybean yield to 51.2 bushels per acre against trade expectations of 52 and lowered output, while exports were reduced. Argentine soybean output was cut 1.5 million tonnes to 49.5 million, and Brazil was unchanged at 144 million.
Oilseed values rallied, and UK rapeseed approached £600/t.
Lower Argentine and U.S. output tightens global oilseed and meal supplies, supporting protein feed prices. A stronger dollar and inflation-driven crude weakness limited gains.
farming.co.ukNov 12, 2021After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
