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Trilateral reports that its prior bullish edible oil view has been reinforced by USDA's 2019/20 global oilseed outlook. Global oilseed production is forecast 3.6% lower, ending stocks 11% lower, and the world vegetable oil usage ratio is seen falling below 10% for the first time since 1994.
Tighter global oilseed and vegetable oil stocks support higher prices for soybean oil, palm oil and related meals, with reduced German and Indian soy output adding to the supply squeeze.
trilatinc.comMatthewAug 16, 2019After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
