ADM's Will Ringrose reported that USDA's September 30 stocks report put soybean stocks at 523 million bushels, 50 million below trade expectations, lifting beans and related products. US harvest was 20% complete with crop ratings at 64% good to excellent.
Malaysia imposed movement restrictions in four palm-producing regions due to Covid-19.
The surprise soybean stocks shortfall tightened US supply and lifted soy complex prices, while Malaysian restrictions add pressure to palm oil supply. Both factors support feed protein and oil values.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.