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USDA's May 2021 crop report included surprises that made it more negative than expected. Old-crop wheat exports were cut, and new-crop wheat feed use rose 70 million bushels as high corn prices shifted feeders to wheat.
EU old-crop production was cut 9.7 million metric tons, and Australian and Canadian new-crop estimates were lowered.
Higher wheat feed use and lower export projections raise domestic wheat consumption and reduce carryout. The lower EU and Australian crops tighten global supply and support wheat prices.
agweek.comRandy MartinsonMay 21, 2021After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
