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CME live cattle and hog futures fell on Thursday on fears of a recession that could reduce demand for meat, with fund liquidation adding pressure near quarter end. Feeder cattle firmed as corn prices fell, and USDA reported frozen beef stocks up 25% year over year.
Recession worries threaten meat demand, pressuring live cattle and hog prices, while lower corn supports feeder cattle economics.
financialpost.comReutersJun 23, 2022
thebeefsite.comGlobal Ag MediaJun 23, 2022After 37 past bearish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.4%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 17 past bearish macro events, Lean Hogs moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.5% to +0.8%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 21 past bullish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +2.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
