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Wheat prices fell over 3% on Monday after a Wall Street selloff, sinking energy prices, and a stronger dollar. Corn dropped around 1% while soybeans closed with modest gains, and crude oil fell below $77 per barrel on Fed rate-hike recession fears.
A firmer dollar and lower energy prices weigh on grain values, with recession worries reducing demand expectations for feed grains and wheat.
theseam.comDec 5, 2022After 69 past bearish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
A Wall Street selloff, weaker energy and a stronger dollar on recession fears cut wheat over 3% on Dec 5, adding macro and sentiment pressure.
A Wall Street selloff, falling energy prices and a stronger dollar on recession fears drove broad risk-off selling in wheat on Dec 5.
