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US corn and soybean futures slipped early Friday as global selloffs on rate hike worries and weak US retail spending data hit commodities. Soybeans eased as rain and warmer weather in Brazil pushed the newly planted crop toward a large harvest, though a robust USDA export sales report limited losses.
Recession fears and a stronger dollar weigh on feed-grain demand, while favorable Brazilian weather points to larger soybean supply and softer meal prices.
theseam.comDec 16, 2022After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
