
The Australian dollar was set to end August sharply lower, on course for a 1.6% monthly loss, as aggressive central bank rate rises and slowing Chinese growth weighed on it. ANZ lowered its 2022 GDP forecast for the world's second-largest economy to 3% from 4%, citing weaker demand.
A weaker Aussie and softer Chinese growth outlook signal reduced demand for industrial commodities and a firmer dollar, which tends to pressure dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.