
Successful Farming analysis argues corn and soybean prices may not recover until 2027 because yields keep rising about two bushels per acre a year and demand must keep catching up. Experts expect 2026 to be another tight year, with the current supercycle having begun 17 years ago.
Persistent supply growth outpacing demand implies continued pressure on corn and soybean prices and farm margins through the near term.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.