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Chicago wheat, corn and soybeans fell on February 5, 2024, with soybeans hitting 24-month lows. The dollar rose to eight-week highs and grain import tenders were scarce, with only Iran buying.
A stronger dollar makes U.S. grain more expensive in export markets during a period of weak import demand, which pressures U.S. futures prices.
agriculture.comReutersFeb 5, 2024After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 69 past bearish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Corn fell on 2024-02-05 as a stronger dollar (eight-week high) and scarce import tenders weakened export competitiveness and demand, directly matching the move date.
