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Corn and soybean prices fell on March 10 amid macroeconomic panic tied to collapsing OPEC negotiations and coronavirus spread. US equity markets had their worst day since 2008 and triggered circuit breakers.
Analysts cited fears that oil price collapse and the virus could trigger recession.
Recession fears and falling crude reduce demand expectations for biofuel feedstocks and general commodity demand, pressuring corn and soybean prices lower. Feed costs face downside momentum tied to macro sentiment.
tsln.comMar 10, 2020After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
