The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.50%, as fully expected by markets. Powell said the risks of doing too much versus too little on inflation are becoming more balanced, and the Fed statement acknowledged tighter financial conditions from higher long-term yields.
Signals that the Fed may be near the end of its hiking cycle weaken the dollar, which tends to support dollar-priced commodities and feed ingredients.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.