
CME live cattle futures closed lower as traders worried about the global economy after the Fed's rate hike and projected further increases. Choice boxed beef fell to the lowest since March 2021, and USDA reported frozen beef stocks up 24% year over year.
Weaker beef demand expectations and larger frozen stocks point to lower cattle prices, which may reduce feedlot demand for corn and meal.
After 37 past bearish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.4%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 27 past bearish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.4%), and 0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.