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Oklahoma State's Derrell Peel says cattle fundamentals are supportive, but cash cattle prices dropped sharply on weaker feeder and live futures. He points to a strong US economy, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and trade uncertainty that has turned into a storm in recent weeks.
Trade-war fears and tighter monetary policy are pushing cattle futures lower, which weighs on feeder cattle values and feed demand from feedlots.
agproud.comDerrell S. PeelMar 26, 2018After 4,478 past macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 27 past bearish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.4%), and 0.0% over 20.
After 37 past bearish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.4%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
