Cattle prices fell sharply as macroeconomic concerns grew. The Federal Reserve raised rates for the sixth time since 2015, and new US tariffs added trade uncertainty despite strong beef demand and higher production.
Higher interest rates and trade risk can cut cattle values and feedlot demand, which tends to lower cattle prices and reduce feed purchases.
After 37 past bearish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.4%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 27 past bearish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.4%), and 0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.