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Live cattle futures fell from about $112/cwt in February to $86/cwt in March as the Dow dropped below 19,000 amid COVID-19 economic concerns. Cash fed cattle declined from nearly $120 to about $106/cwt over the same period.
Labor disruptions at packing plants are also a risk.
Expectations of weaker demand and possible packing disruptions are driving cattle prices lower, which affects feed demand from feedlots.
wlj.netDerrell S. Peel, Oklahoma State University Extension livestock marketing specialistMar 31, 2020After 37 past bearish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.4%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 27 past bearish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.4%), and 0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
