
US cattle and beef prices have reached record highs due to tight supply and strong demand. Ground beef hit a record $6.32 per pound in August and beef prices rose 13.9% year-over-year, while the cattle herd is at its lowest since 1951.
CME live cattle futures recently reached $243.58 per hundredweight.
A herd at a 70-year low and farmers reluctant to rebuild herds keep cattle supplies tight, supporting high live cattle and feeder prices for the foreseeable future.
After 28 past bullish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.9%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 21 past bullish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +2.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.