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After EPA's December 1 set rule came in below expectations for the advanced category, D4 RIN prices fell 8.33% in one session and renewable feedstocks sold off. Pressure on Nymex ULSD also weighed on renewable diesel margins.
Lower mandates and weaker RIN values reduce the economics for renewable diesel, cutting feedstock demand for soybean oil and pressuring diesel prices.
instanext.comDec 20, 2022
aegis-hedging.comDec 20, 2022After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 21 past bearish policy events, DIESEL moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -6.5% to +4.7%), and -1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
