Petroleum prices fell for a third week in four, with WTI down 12.9%, Brent 13.5% and ULSD 16.8% on the week. The US announced a release of 1 million barrels per day from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve over six months, to be coordinated with IEA members.
OPEC+ also agreed to another 432 kb/d increase for May.
A large coordinated stockpile release adds near-term crude and distillate supply, pressuring energy prices lower. Lower diesel and fuel costs can ease feed transport and processing expenses.
After 215 past bearish policy events, WTI moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, BRENT moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 21 past bearish policy events, DIESEL moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -6.5% to +4.7%), and -1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The weekly summary shows Brent down 13.5% on the SPR release of 1 mb/d for six months, coordinated with IEA members, plus another OPEC+ increase for May.