
The Biden administration announced a coordinated release of 50 million barrels from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, with other countries including South Korea, India, China, the UK and Japan also planning releases. The move aims to ease rising US gasoline prices, which were up 61% over twelve months.
Additional crude supply from reserves pressures crude prices lower, which can ease diesel and fertilizer input costs and freight fuel surcharges for feed producers.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 21 past bearish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -6.5% to +4.7%), and -1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.