Global oil demand recovery is faltering as coronavirus cases resurge, while OPEC+ prepares to restart about 1.5 million bpd of output in August. Brent futures reached about $43 after cuts lifted prices nearly threefold from April lows.
Analysts warn the extra supply could push prices lower again.
Rising OPEC+ supply into weak demand risks renewed price declines, lowering diesel and freight costs for feed buyers. Lower crude would also weigh on biofuel-linked vegetable oil demand.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.