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Heating degree days ran 11 percent below normal for the US season through January 18, with the South Atlantic 20 percent below. Concern about coronavirus spread in China also pushed prices lower, and natural gas broke below two dollars.
Warm weather cuts heating fuel demand and weakens energy prices, which lowers input costs for feed producers. The virus threat adds further downward pressure on oil and fuel demand.
fuelsmarketnews.comAlan H LevineJan 28, 2020After 50 past weather events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -4.8% to +5.7%), and +8.8% over 20.
After 17 past bearish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.9%), and +2.9% over 20.
After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
