Energy Intelligence reports that prompt-month natural gas futures fell 6.5% to the low $2.60s on Nov 7. The drop followed a European winter outlook calling for widespread warmth across much of the central and eastern US, and an expected storage build that would push inventories to a record above 4 trillion cubic feet.
Warm weather and record storage reduce heating demand and add supply cushion, which pressures US gas prices lower.
After 104 past bearish weather events, NATGAS moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.