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Spot natural gas prices fell as mild forecasts for the rest of October and early November reduced heating demand, while output rose. The November contract settled at $2.309 and December at $2.863, after a 6% drop in crude oil on easing geopolitical risk.
LNG feedgas recovered near 14 Bcf/d as maintenance wound down.
Expected above-normal storage injections and warm weather point to softer US gas prices, while rising LNG feedgas provides some offset that limits the downside.
stonex.comHeather WineOct 29, 2024After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
After 17 past bearish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.9%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
