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Crude oil reversed its early gains as a stronger dollar weighed on prices, while natural gas fell about 12% on forecasts of much warmer winter weather. OPEC and non-OPEC output cuts were in focus, with Kuwait and Oman reporting early compliance.
A stronger dollar makes dollar-priced crude more expensive for foreign buyers, and warm weather cuts gas heating demand.
oilprice.comMatt SmithJan 3, 2017After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
After 17 past bearish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.9%), and +2.9% over 20.
After 10 past bearish weather events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.9% to +4.6%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 15 past bullish weather events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports natural gas falling about 12% on Jan 3 on forecasts of much warmer winter weather, which lowers heating demand.
