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Cash cheese prices strengthened into the Valentine's Day week, with CME blocks reaching $1.5950 per pound. Barrels rose to $1.4350, their highest since September 2018.
Arctic weather in the West also killed over 1,800 dairy cows in Yakima Valley.
Stronger US cheese prices and cow losses from cold weather tighten domestic milk supply, supporting dairy prices. A strong dollar and tariffs, however, reduce US cheese competitiveness in export markets.
capitalpress.comLEE MIELKEFor the Capital PressFeb 19, 2019After 32 past bullish weather events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.4%), and +3.2% over 20.
After 15 past bullish weather events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Cheese blocks at $1.595 and barrels at a multi-month high directly lift Class III value, while cow deaths from cold trim supply.
