
Wheat, corn and soybean futures eased as relatively favorable weather in the EU and the Americas and a stronger dollar weighed on prices. Traders watched dryness in Ukraine, Russia and Kazakhstan and the US-China trade relationship, with Matif December wheat closing lower.
Favorable weather in major producing regions and a firmer dollar tend to cap grain prices, though Black Sea dryness remains a potential upside risk.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 15 past bullish weather events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.