
US corn and soybean futures fell sharply on Thursday on rain and cooler forecasts for the Midwest and broad commodity selling. CBOT July corn settled at its 40-cent daily limit, and wheat fell with seasonal harvest pressure after the Fed signaled faster rate hikes.
Expected rain reduces weather risk for the new crop, and fund liquidation leaves prices vulnerable to further long liquidation.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Corn and soy futures plunged on rain and cooler forecasts plus broad commodity selling after the Fed's hawkish signal, which drove soybean weakness.
Wheat fell on June 17 alongside limit-down corn amid broad commodity selling, hawkish Fed signals and seasonal harvest pressure.