Loading…
Chicago wheat futures surged on Monday as wind storms and tornadoes in the US Midwest and Plains raised concerns about crop damage. Traders also cited expected reduced Russian wheat exports and a weaker dollar, with the most active wheat contract settling up 11.5 cents at $5.68.5 a bushel.
Soybeans ticked down on lower-than-expected NOPA crush numbers while corn edged higher.
Possible wind damage to US winter wheat and tighter Russian export supply support wheat prices and could draw export demand toward US supplies. A weaker dollar makes US grain cheaper abroad, supporting the broader feed grain complex.
agcanada.comAGCanadaMar 17, 2025After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes the 2025-03-17 Chicago wheat surge on wind storm/tornado crop damage fears, reduced Russian exports and a weaker dollar, matching the move's timing and size.
Wheat surged on Monday 3/17 (the move date) on wind and tornado crop-damage fears, reduced Russian export expectations and a weaker dollar, which directly explain the large one-day gain.
The March 17 wheat surge on wind and crop-damage fears, a weaker dollar and lower Russian exports pulled corn higher through grain-complex spillover.
