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U.S. wheat futures rose nearly 3% on technical buying and crop concerns from drought in the U.S. Plains. USDA reported only 36% of the winter wheat crop in good-to-excellent condition, versus 52% a year earlier.
Dry weather in Canada, eastern Australia and southern Russia also supported prices, while soybean planting ran ahead of average.
A poor U.S. winter wheat rating signals reduced hard red wheat supply and supports prices. Ahead-of-pace soybean planting caps soybean gains.
agcanada.comAGCanadaMay 22, 2018After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports wheat up nearly 3% on technical buying and Plains drought, with winter wheat only 36% good-to-excellent, a supply shock matching the move magnitude, though dated 22 May and may partly describe the following day.
