
Pro Farmer's morning outlook on October 24 expected corn and wheat to open lower and soybeans firmer, citing a strong US dollar index rally. Consultant Michael Cordonnier kept Brazil soybean and corn estimates at 162 and 125 MMT with a neutral-to-lower bias, and Russia's 2023 grain harvest is expected near 140 MMT.
A stronger dollar and a large Russian harvest pressure wheat and corn prices, while Brazilian crop uncertainty and planting delays provide some support for soybeans.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 15 past bullish weather events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.